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as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was
of the economy. a discussion about the fed earlier in terms of the beige book numbers. what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away fr
now that the global economies are recovering. if you heard schlumberger and ge today, both companies on their conference calls, talked about china being probably the best area for activity 2013. and i think that's very exciting, and that's the reason -- one of the main reasons why you want to be buying this market if you do get a little bit more volatility over the next week. in addition, i think the u.s. continues to do pretty well, too. so i like the market, and on volatility we're buying it. >> so, we've got an economic story that seems to be better from the macro point of view, dean. and by the way, i should point out this market rocketed at the end of the day, settled up 53 points on the dow jones industrial average. what does the macro story look like you to right now? >> the macro story is considerably better than it's been over the past couple of years, pes legs with the european contagion story. not done but off the table for now. obviously things like the debt ceiling and the dysfunction in washington are reasons for concern, but i think one of the factors that's underpinni
for the economy. what are you seeing? >> well, 2012 was the year housing really made its statement at its back. it's not back to where it was, but surely we can now say housing has turned the corner so that's a good thing for the economy. when housing does well, everything else seems to do well. quite a multiplier effect. in fact, there's been no recovery in this country of size or stability without housing participating or leading. energy is doing pretty well. we see some manufacturing, but to be honest about it, the recovery is still not as strong as it needs to be. there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown 300 billion in core deposits in four years. you know, consumer
of google and ibm. an indication of the strength of the global economy. yes, obviously, the fed is juicing this real, but cash on balance sheets is at record highs. unemployment seems to be stabilizing, and have you nowhere else to go, if you go to cash, what are you making, nothing? >> nothing. >> go to bonds, nothing. >> might as well put it in the mattress. >> exactly. >> watching google there. waiting for those numbers. not out yet. estimates coming down. rich peterson what, role does technology play in this market right now? how important are they? >> it's always the audio. >> in terms of the s&p capital estimates, looking for a 1.4% decline and earnings in the fourth quarter. however, you look at the low point for the earnings decline for the sector we're seeing upturned in the first quarter, second quarter 2013. however, i think, you know, we had a big rise with many m & a deals last year in the sector. investors should not be ignoring the risk out there. so far the s&p 500, so many headwinds out there in terms of what the fed may be raising rates some time. >> okay. so you see tech
Search Results 0 to 4 of about 5